UK Sharks Poker Forum

By Daniel Negreanu

In no-limit hold'em tournaments, size your bets based on your opponent's skill level. You can cut corners by betting wisely.

It's one of my basic premises for tournament play: Choose to bet the lesser amount when a smaller-sized bet will accomplish the same objective as a bigger one.

It's tough to hit a flop. That's why players often are glad to see their opponents fold after they've made a post-flop bet. Say you flopped a hand like top pair. Well, there's always the chance that someone else did even better.

In tournament play, reduce your risk by targeting beginner players whose play is predictable.

One way to exploit these players is by betting a bit less when you're bluffing, and a bit more when you have a strong hand. Beginners lack the sophistication to pick up on this betting pattern.

But don't try this same strategy against skilled players.

With blinds at 100-200, you decide to raise from late position with Q-J. A weak beginner calls from the big blind, leaving you heads-up with 1,100 in the pot. The flop comes As-4c-4s, completely missing your hand and probably missing your opponent's hand as well.

Against a pro, you might bet something around 800 if you were trying to steal the blinds. A bet of that size would make it a little too expensive for the pro to try to bluff the pot away from you if he had nothing.

Had you bet a lower amount instead, say 500, the pro might conclude you don't have an ace. He might consider reraising to 1,200, even with a marginal hand such as J-9.

That's not how it would work against a weak beginner.

Beginners are predictable and they rarely bluff. They tend to focus on their own hand and hope to catch the one card they need. This is when to cut a corner by betting a little less since your bet size won't affect the outcome of the hand anyway.

Let's go back to the sample hand.

Instead of betting 800 to try to steal the pot from an mateur, bet a smaller amount equivalent to your pre-flop raise. If he does have the ace, he'd probably call anything, making the size of your bet totally irrelevant.

However, the smaller bet will save you 300 chips. Those kinds of savings can add up throughout the course of a tournament.

What if your novice opponent doesn't have the ace? He'll fold regardless of how much you bet. So there is no reason to risk more than you have to.

Let's say, though, you do have the A-K. Make the bigger bet. The amateur will react the same way to a bet of 800 as he would to a 500 chip bet if he also has an ace. In this situation, a bigger bet will maximize the value of your hand.

Here's one last thought: The other skilled players at the table will know exactly what you're up to. They'll recognize your betting pattern. They'll assume that you don't have much of a hand and are trying to run a bluff against a weak player. But that's OK, they're not in the hand anyway.

Varying The Size Of Your Bets Depending Upon The Ability Of Your Opponent